How many seats will AfD win in the Saxony-Anhalt state election?
1.0 ptn (24u)PolitiekOne-OffVerkiezing12mnd
KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
38 or more 99%Koploper van 7 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
31 / 100
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€ 3,4
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€ 5,9K
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Bijgewerkt 10 minuten geleden
9 jul 26, 18:50 UTC6 sep 27, 14:00 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegels
If Alternative for Germany (AfD) has won at least 36 seats in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:Landeswahlausschuss Sachsen-Anhalt
- A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either: The time for legal challenges has expired Challenges have been resolved The member has taken their seat
- Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes.
- The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged.
- If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price.
- Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor How many seats will AfD win in the Saxony-Anhalt state election??
- Kalshi prijst 38 or more op 99% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt How many seats will AfD win in the Saxony-Anhalt state election? afgewikkeld?
- How many seats will AfD win in the Saxony-Anhalt state election? wordt naar verwachting op 6 september 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt How many seats will AfD win in the Saxony-Anhalt state election? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If Alternative for Germany (AfD) has won at least 36 seats in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election, then the market resolves to Yes.