KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Nee 55%
Marktkwaliteit
49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 2,8K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
37.0% / 43.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 minuten geleden
21 aug 26, 22:45 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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Manifold MarketsClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
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KalshiRegels
If the U.S. Department of Education announces a decision by the senior Department official to terminate, suspend, limit, or deny renewal of the recognition of the American Bar Association's Council of the Section of Legal Education and Admissions to the Bar as an accrediting agency for law schools before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:the U.S. Department of Educationthe Federal Registerthe White Housethe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersPoliticoThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC
- The decision must be made by the senior Department official, the Education Department official designated by the Secretary to decide accreditor recognition under 34 CFR 602.3, or by the Secretary.
- It counts when announced, even if later appealed or stayed.
- A NACIQI recommendation, a staff finding, a notice inviting the Council to respond before a decision, and recognition of a competing accreditor do not qualify.
- Continuing the Council's recognition does not resolve the market to Yes, including where recognition continues with a monitoring report, compliance report, shortened term, conditions, or a scope revision.
Open markten
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.0pt84.2%
- Yes-1.0pt15.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 12,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 90,5K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-2.0pt51%
- Before Oct 1, 202749%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-6.0pt41%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 4,8 mln.
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 202754%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 877K
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt19.8%
- $1.75T–$2.0T+0.5pt18.9%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt17.9%
+5 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 202795%
- Before Feb 1, 202793%
- Before Apr 1, 202792%
+9 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 6,5K
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the ABA lose its law school accreditation power??
- Kalshi prijst No op 55% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the ABA lose its law school accreditation power? afgewikkeld?
- Will the ABA lose its law school accreditation power? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the ABA lose its law school accreditation power? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the U.S. Department of Education announces a decision by the senior Department official to terminate, suspend, limit, or deny renewal of the recognition of the American Bar Association's Council of the Section of Legal Education and Admissions to the Bar as an accrediting agency for law schools before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.