GeminiKYC vereistGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGrof gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Democratic Party 57.8%Marge-gecorrigeerd: de ruwe noteringen telden op tot boven 100% en zijn genormaliseerd.
Marktkwaliteit
≤49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 87,1
Liquiditeit
—
Liquiditeit onbekendBied / Laat
59.0% / 60.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Strakke spreadHandelaren
0
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 minuten geleden
23 dec 25, 16:08 UTC1 feb 27, 00:00 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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PolymarketRegels
Which party will win the U.S. Senate in 2026?
- This contract resolves based on whether the the named outcome controls the U.S. Senate following the 2026 United States midterm elections held on Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
- Control is defined as holding the most seats in the Senate based on final, official results.
- A majority consists of at least 51 seats.
- If two parties hold the same number of seats, control is determined by which party enters government, including consideration of the Vice President’s tie-breaking role.
- Independents who formally caucus with a party are treated as members of that party.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
4 handelsplatforms prijzen deze markt momenteel. De liquiditeitsgewogen referentiekans van CoinRithm voor Democratic Party is 60%. De noteringen lopen ongeveer 2 procentpunten uiteen.
CoinRithm-referentie Democratic Party 60% · 4 platforms · 2 pt spreiding tussen venues
- Ook beschikbaar op Limitless — Which party will win the Senate in 2026? · Democratic Party 61%
- Ook beschikbaar op Kalshi — Which party will win the U.S. Senate? · Democratic Party 58%
- Ook beschikbaar op Polymarket — Which party will win the Senate in 2026? · Democratic Party 61%
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.5pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,1 mld.
- 24u volume
- € 1,8 mln.
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+44.0pt57.4%
- Nicolás Maduro-40.9pt41.6%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.7%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
+1 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Which party will win the U.S. Senate??
- Gemini prijst Democratic Party op 58% per 20 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Which party will win the U.S. Senate? afgewikkeld?
- Which party will win the U.S. Senate? wordt naar verwachting op 1 februari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Which party will win the U.S. Senate? afgewikkeld?
- Gemini wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Which party will win the U.S. Senate in 2026?
- Waar wordt Which party will win the U.S. Senate? nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Limitless, Kalshi, Polymarket.