FutuurBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensHuidige impliciete kans
Nee 90%
Nee 90%Marktkwaliteit
32 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 853,9
Lage liquiditeitHandelaren
6
Reacties
0
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 minuut geleden
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Number of North Korea Missile Tests in November 2026?
PolymarketWill any country that is not currently known to have nuclear weapons detonate a nuclear weapon in 2026? (Tests included)
Manifold MarketsWill direct passenger ferry service between mainland Taiwan and mainland China resume by end of 2026?”
Manifold MarketsWhen will Big Bend border construction resume?
LimitlessWill North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
PolymarketKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketRegels
This event predicts whether North Korea will conduct any nuclear explosive test between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official announcements by North Korea confirming a nuclear test.
- If North Korea conducts a nuclear explosive test during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- If North Korea does not officially confirm the test, it may still count if at least two of Japan, China, South Korea, or the United States publicly accuse North Korea of conducting a nuclear test based on seismic measurements.
- If evidence is ambiguous, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international news organizations.