FutuurBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensHuidige impliciete kans
Nee 93%
Nee 93%Marktkwaliteit
33 / 100
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€ 1,1K
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Manifold MarketsRegels
This event predicts whether the United States will formally announce its withdrawal from the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- For this market, a qualifying announcement means a formal notification consistent with Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official communications from the U.S. government, including statements by the President or formal diplomatic notifications.
- If the United States formally announces its withdrawal from NATO during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- The mandatory one-year notice period does not need to conclude within the market period for a "Yes" resolution; only the formal announcement is required.
