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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
When will Armenia and Azerbaijan have a full-scale war?
Manifold MarketsWill Armenia and Azerbaijan sign peace treaty by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill part of the agreed ceasefire deal between Russia and Ukraine involve a minimum 10 year block on joining NATO or EU?
Manifold MarketsWill part of the agreed ceasefire deal between Russia and Ukraine involve a minimum 20 year block on joining NATO or EU?
Manifold MarketsRussia-Ukraine ceasefire or peace deal to be reached by the end of 2026?
FutuurIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRegels
This event predicts whether there will be a breach of the ceasefire agreement between Armenia and Azerbaijan at any time during 2026.
- For this market, a breach means kinetic military action involving the firing of weapons across the ceasefire line.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official statements by the governments of Armenia or Azerbaijan, or reports by internationally recognized monitoring bodies.
- If kinetic military action violating the ceasefire occurs during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Cyber operations, rhetoric, or non-kinetic incidents will not count.