Which party will lead in RCP Congressional generic ballot polling for Nov. 3?
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezioneElezioni di metà mandato USA 20261g
PredictItVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione non verificatiRetail prediction exchange
Avviso sulla qualità dei datiPrezzo non significativo
Dati al 2 nov 2026, 07:06 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Probabilità implicita attuale
Dem<6.0%, Tie or GOP 0%In testa tra 9 esiti
Dem<6.0%, Tie or GOP 0%Metodologia
Retail prediction exchange
Tipo di domanda
-
Volume 24h
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 minuto fa
27 ott 26, 15:54 UTC3 nov 26, 16:00 UTC
Trend
Regole
The contract that resolves to Yes shall identify the RealClearPolling average "2026 Generic Congressional Vote" leader and spread at the End Date listed below.
- The approval rating shall be drawn from the table of individual polls, available upon launch of this market at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/state-of-the-union/generic-congressional-vote ("the Settlement Source"), as shown on devices set to Eastern Time.
Any number displayed at the Settlement Source at the End Date other than the difference between the two parties' support (currently labelled "Spread") will be irrelevant for purposes of this market.
Should the Settlement Source be unavailable at the End Date, PredictIt will, at its sole discretion, await an update, select the most recent data point in the identified series or an alternate source, or construct its own polling average.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 11/03/2026 11:00 AM (ET)
