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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. US Politics
  3. Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

One-OffUS PoliticsGeopoliticaLatin America6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì
Sì 4%
Qualita del mercato

49 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidità

32,3K €

Alta liquidità
Bid / Ask

4.0% / 4.1%

Spread

2.5%

Spread stretto
Variazione 7g

-1.1%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 2 minuti fa

5 gen 26, 22:2531 dic 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes4%

Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Mexican land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Mexico or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
  • The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Mercati Correlati

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

13,9K €
Sì: 17%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US strike on Mexico by...?

US strike on Mexico by...?

2,9K €
December 31: 11%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US x Cuba economic deal by...?

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

777,1 €
June 30: 9%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will the US attack Cuba in the next 30 days?

4,7K €
Sì: 1%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

U.S. military or CIA kinetic action against Brazil before end of 2027?

201,9 €
Sì: 9.7%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

0,9 €
Delcy Rodríguez: 90%KalshiKALSHI

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,685.50+1.86%EthereumETH$1,654.27+1.27%SolanaSOL$65.03+1.10%DogecoinDOGE$0.0847+1.07%XRPXRP$1.11+0.03%BNBBNB$596.29+1.58%

Notizie Correlate

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Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Mexican land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Mexico or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
  • The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.