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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. US Politics
  3. Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

One-OffUS PoliticsGeopolitica6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì
Sì 6%
Qualita del mercato

64 / 100

Qualità media
Volume 24h

574 €

Liquidità

65,7K €

Alta liquidità
Bid / Ask

5.0% / 6.0%

Spread

20.0%

Spread ampio
Variazione 7g

-1.0%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 3 minuti fa

5 gen 26, 19:1931 dic 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes6%

Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • For the purposes of this market, the land territory of Greenland refers to all territory recognized by Denmark as part of the autonomous territory of Greenland within the Kingdom of Denmark, as of market creation.
  • The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • For the purposes of this market, the land territory of Greenland refers to all territory recognized by Denmark as part of the autonomous territory of Greenland within the Kingdom of Denmark, as of market creation.
  • The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.