PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 91.1%
Qualità del mercato
67 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
170,9 €
Liquidità
8K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
8.0% / 9.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
5
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
5 nov 25, 22:16 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will any Canadian province announce a $19+ minimum wage in 2026?
KalshiWill Alberta announce a minimum wage increase in 2026?
KalshiWill California prisoners be required to make minimum wage by 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Mamdani raise property taxes?
KalshiWill the federal minimum wage increase before Family Guy ends?
Manifold MarketsWill a single parent in Brazil earn at least one minimum wage from Bolsa Família by 2029?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Zohran Mamdani has proposed raising New York City's minimum wage to $30 an hour by 2030.
- You can read more about that here: https://www.cityandstateny.com/policy/2025/02/mamdani-unveils-30-30-minimum-wage-push-part-mayoral-campaign/403015/?oref=csny-homepage-top-story
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the following occur:
- Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election.
- A policy is enacted in New York City before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, which would establish a minimum wage of at least $30 an hour, effective by December 31, 2030, or earlier.
- The policy will be considered to have been enacted if a local or state law is passed, or mayoral executive order is issued which will bring the stated minimum wage into effect within the specified timeframe.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
2 piattaforme quotano attualmente questo mercato. La probabilità di riferimento ponderata per la liquidità di CoinRithm per Riferimento CoinRithm è del 9%. Le quotazioni differiscono di circa 2 punti percentuali tra le piattaforme più distanti.
Riferimento CoinRithm 9% · 2 piattaforme · 2 pt di scarto tra venue