Probabilità implicita attuale
No 57%-1.5pt
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
14,5 €
Liquidità
800,6 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
41.0% / 44.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
3
Variazione 7g
+10.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 minuti fa
27 mar 26, 18:13 UTC31 dic 26, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
When will the EU reach a long-term budget deal?
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Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the French parliament passes a 2027 national budget (Loi de Finances pour 2027) and it is published in the Official Journal of France (Journal Officiel) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM CET (UTC+01:00).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying budget must provide funding for the entire year 2027.
- Special or emergency funding bills will not qualify.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the French Government, specifically the Official Journal of France (Journal Officiel) (journal-officiel.gouv.fr).
- However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+12.0pt81.2%
- Yes-12.0pt18.8%
- Volume totale
- 15,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1 Mln €
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.3pt19%
- Jon Ossoff+0.8pt17%
- Gavin Newsom+0.5pt13%
+48 altri esiti
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- D-House, D-Senate+3.0pt50%
- D-House, R-Senate-2.0pt34%
- R-House, R-Senate-3.0pt14%
+1 altri esiti
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom13%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 188,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 675,8K €
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- Karen Bass-2.0pt63%
- Nithya Raman+3.0pt37%
- Volume totale
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- Volume 24h
- 642,6K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+1.5pt52.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt45.5%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt2%
+16 altri esiti
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- Next French Presidential Election
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
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- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Texas Senate winner?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will France pass a national budget by December 31??
- Polymarket quota No al 57% al 15 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will France pass a national budget by December 31??
- Will France pass a national budget by December 31? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will France pass a national budget by December 31??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the French parliament passes a 2027 national budget (Loi de Finances pour 2027) and it is published in the Official Journal of France (Journal Officiel) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM CET (UTC+01:00).