Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?
0.2 pt (24h)IntrattenimentoOne-Off3m
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Avengers: Doomsday 96%+0.2pt
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
9,3K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
3.6% / 4.1%
Spread
0.5 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
6
Variazione 7g
-1.3 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
5 gen 26, 22:47 UTC20 dic 26, 00:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will "Dunesday" (Dune 3 and Avengers: Doomsday) outgross Barbenheimer (Barbie and Oppenheimer) on it's opening weekend?
Manifold MarketsAvengers: Doomsday V Dune: Messiah! Which one will "blink"? Both are currently dated Dec 18, 2026 - release date in USA.
Manifold MarketsWill "Digger" earn more than $25M in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend
Manifold MarketsDune vs Avengers: Highest Rotten Tomatoes Score
KalshiWhich movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
PolymarketWill Dunesday beat Barbenheimer's opening weekend record?
PolymarketRegole
the named outcome and the named outcome are scheduled for release on December 18, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the film which grosses more domestically during their opening weekend in theaters.
- The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on these movies' The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) pages will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (December 18 - December 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
- If both movies report the same gross for the 3-day opening weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
- Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.