PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 92%-0.3pt
Qualità del mercato
32 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
139,9 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
2.1% / 14.8%
Spread
12.7 pt
Spread ampioCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
+0.3 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
12 giu 26, 15:20 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Regole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Disney+ officially reports 150 million or more paid subscribers in its fiscal year 2026 annual report (10-K).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- For the purposes of this market, the 150 million figure must be explicitly reflected in the total Disney+ paid subscriber count (combining both domestic and international subscribers) in Disney's official FY2026 10-K filing with the SEC, covering the fiscal year ending in September 2026.
- Analyst estimates, third-party projections, or figures from any other reporting period will not count.
- If Disney's FY2026 10-K has not been officially filed with the SEC by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the relevant figure is not included in the report, this market will resolve to "No."
- The primary resolution source for this market will be Disney's FY2026 10-K filing on the SEC's EDGAR database (https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0001744489&type=10-K).
Mercati aperti
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+7 altri esiti
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KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt40%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-5.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-16.0pt33%
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- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 202795%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,4 Mln €
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt20.4%
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+5 altri esiti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Disney+ Reach 150 million total users by September??
- Polymarket quota No al 92% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Disney+ Reach 150 million total users by September??
- Will Disney+ Reach 150 million total users by September? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Disney+ Reach 150 million total users by September??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Disney+ officially reports 150 million or more paid subscribers in its fiscal year 2026 annual report (10-K).