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  1. Mercati Predittivi
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  3. Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

One-OffPoliticaElezioneEurope2m
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì
Sì 45%
Qualita del mercato

49 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidità

21K €

Liquidità media
Bid / Ask

44.0% / 45.0%

Spread

2.3%

Spread stretto
Variazione 7g

+1.0%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 6 minuti fa

12 mag 26, 23:536 set 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes45%

Regole

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
  • This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
  • This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.

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Regole

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
  • This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
  • This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.