Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì 40%
Qualita del mercato
91 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
512,2 €
Liquidità
30,3K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
39.0% / 40.0%
Spread
2.6%
Spread strettoVariazione 7g
+1.0%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 minuti fa
12 mag 26, 23:506 set 26, 0:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Yes40%
Confronta le piattaforme· No
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketQuesta paginaMigliore in assoluto | Alta | 61% | +21pt | 512,2 € | 30,3K € | 15 minuti fa | |
 Futuur82% di corrispondenza · auto | Bassa | 55% | +15pt | 0 € | 1,8K € | 15 minuti fa | Apri → |
 Manifold Markets88% di corrispondenza · verificato | — | 47% | +7pt | — | — | 16 ore fa | Apri → |
| Manifold Markets85% di corrispondenza · verificato | — | 62% | +22pt | — | — | 17 ore fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets
Will the AfD win an absolute majority in the state election in Saxony-Anhalt in 2026
1m
53.4%
46.6%
Previsione della comunità18 previsoriTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSDisponibile anche su Manifold Markets
AfD wins absolute majority in 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election?
5m
62%
38%
Previsione della comunità45 previsoriTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSDisponibile anche su Futuur
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election?
1m
55%
45%
28 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo
Volume totale36,2 €
Volume 24h0 €
FUTUURRegole
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Grandi operazioni
$1.7k38.5%POLYMARKETYessdiff12325 gg fa
POLYMARKETYessdiff12325 gg faTrend del volume
$5832 lug25g di dati26 lug
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Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.