Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in October?
Weather
PolymarketChiusoVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: No
Risolto: 1 nov 2023, 06:06
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Probabilità implicita attuale
No 100%
Qualita del mercato
15 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
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Liquidità
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Liquidità sconosciutaDati di mercato
Aggiornato 122 giorni fa
Obsoleto28 set 23, 19:5631 ott 23, 0:00
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Regole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a hurricane makes landfall in the conterminous United States within this market's timeframe, between October 1 and October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET as described in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/).
- If no tropical systems make landfall in the conterminous United States at hurricane status within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market may only resolve to "No" after October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET if the conditions for a "Yes" resolution have not been met.
- For the purpose of this market, a hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL , and the NHC officially reports that the storm has maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher at the time of landfall.
- This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC that a hurricane has made landfall within the conterminous United States within the market timeframe regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in October??
- Polymarket quota No al 100% al 25 aprile 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in October??
- Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in October? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 ottobre 2023.
- Come viene liquidato Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in October??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Yes" if a hurricane makes landfall in the conterminous United States within this market's timeframe, between October 1 and October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET as described in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/).