PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Democratic Party 99%-0.2ptIn testa tra 8 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualita del mercato
49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
20,6K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
0.8 pt
Spread strettoComments
0
Variazione 7g
-0.6 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 minuti fa
29 gen 26, 0:343 nov 26, 0:00
Trend
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regole
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Riferimento CoinRithm Democratic Party 96% · 2 piattaforme · banda di 1 pt
- Disponibile anche su Limitless — WI-04 House Election Winner · Democratic Party 99%
Mercati aperti
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.2%
- Jon Ossoff16.2%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt15.2%
+44 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 160,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 845,4K €
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham+2.0pt64.2%
- Ralph Norman-4.0pt27.5%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 11,5 Mln €
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Gavin Newsom15%
- Jon Ossoff+0.2pt14%
+125 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva62.8%
- Flávio Bolsonaro32.4%
- Renan Santos+0.2pt4.9%
+29 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance20%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Marco Rubio+0.4pt12%
+125 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 591,1 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance-1.0pt45.3%
- Marco Rubio-3.0pt21.1%
- Ron DeSantis-0.2pt5.3%
+35 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 50,3 Mln €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per WI-04 House Election Winner?
- Polymarket quota Democratic Party al 99% al 22 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve WI-04 House Election Winner?
- WI-04 House Election Winner dovrebbe risolversi il 3 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato WI-04 House Election Winner?
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- Dove altro è quotato WI-04 House Election Winner?
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Limitless.