PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale1.5–2.0% 36%+4.0%In testa tra 7 esiti
Qualita del mercato
52 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
261,9 €
Liquidità
9,4K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
3.8% / 7.8%
Spread
105.3%
Spread ampioVariazione 7g
+1.3%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 minuti fa
30 apr 26, 18:2830 lug 26, 0:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
1.5–2.0%36%
Confronta le piattaforme· 1.5–2.0%
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMigliore in assoluto100% di corrispondenza · auto | Media | 99% | +63pt | 4K € | 59,5K € | 16 minuti fa | Apri → |
| PolymarketQuesta pagina | Media | 36% | 0pt | 261,9 € | 9,4K € | 16 minuti fa | |
 Futuur72% di corrispondenza · auto | Bassa | 37% | +1pt | 0 € | 4,9K € | 16 minuti fa | Apri → |
 Limitless100% di corrispondenza · auto | Bassa | 36% | 0pt | 0 € | 0 € | 16 minuti fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Kalshi
US GDP growth in Q2 2026?
7.0%4g
99%
95%
93%
+6 altri esiti
64 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioAlta liquiditàVicino alla risoluzione
Volume totale167K €
Volume 24h4K €
KALSHIDisponibile anche su Limitless
US GDP growth in Q2 2026?
3g
35.9%
28%
18%
+4 altri esiti
28 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo
Volume totale1K €
Volume 24h0 €
LIMITLESSDisponibile anche su Futuur
US’ GDP growth rate for Q2- 2026
3g
37%
30%
20%
+1 altri esiti
44 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità
Volume totale44,7 €
Volume 24h0 €
FUTUURRegole
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
- Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate".
- The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market.
- Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$2982 lug25g di dati26 lug
Asset Sensibili al Macro
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Japan GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?
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[ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?
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MANIFOLD MARKETS
Auto-loan delinquencies in Q2 2026
10,4 €Above 5.6%: 77%KALSHI
KALSHIUS GDP growth in Q3 2026?
8,8 €Above 2.5%: 9%KALSHI
KALSHIAttivi in questi argomenti
Regole
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
- Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate".
- The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market.
- Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.