Probabilità implicita attuale
59-61 35%In testa tra 7 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
24,1K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
0.4 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
+3.4 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 minuti fa
19 ago 26, 19:52 UTC12 ott 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Regole
The 2026 French Senate election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, renewing série 2 — 178 of the Senate's 348 seats.
- The new senators are currently scheduled to take office on October 1, 2026, and the deadline for submitting new political-group membership lists and political declarations is currently set for October 5, 2026, at 4:00 PM CEST.
- This market will resolve according to the number of French Senate seats held by the Groupe Union Centriste as of October 12, 2026, 4:00 PM CEST.
- The seat count will be the group's total membership as published by the French Senate (senat.fr), counting members (membres), related (apparentés), and affiliated (rattachés).
- A group will qualify as the Groupe Union Centriste if it satisfies at least one of the following: - Its official name includes "Union Centriste" or a clear variant thereof; - Its political declaration published in the Official Journal (Journal Officiel) of France identifies it as a continuation of the group; or - It is publicly recognized as the continuation of the Groupe Union Centriste, and this characterization is confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting.
- A group that changes its name will continue to qualify if it meets at least one of the criteria above.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Union Centriste Seat Count after French Senate Election??
- Polymarket quota 59-61 al 35% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Union Centriste Seat Count after French Senate Election??
- Union Centriste Seat Count after French Senate Election? dovrebbe risolversi il 12 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Union Centriste Seat Count after French Senate Election??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: The 2026 French Senate election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, renewing série 2 — 178 of the Senate's 348 seats.