PolymarketChiusoVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: 38.5–38.9
Risolto: 23 ott 2026, 23:02
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 24 ott 2026, 14:15 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Cronologia delle Probabilità
39.0–39.40%
38.5–38.9100%
37.5–37.90%
38.0–38.428%
39.5+0%
<37.50%
38.5–38.9Vinta
Prima della chiusura: 100% ·
37.5–37.9Persa
Prima della chiusura: 0% ·
38.0–38.4Persa
Prima della chiusura: 0% ·
39.0–39.4Persa
Prima della chiusura: 0% ·
39.5+Persa
Prima della chiusura: 0% ·
<37.5Persa
Prima della chiusura: 0% ·
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Trump approval rating on October 30?
PolymarketTrump approval rating at least ___ on October 30?
PolymarketHow low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiHow low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
PolymarketHow high will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiWill Trump's approval rating drop below 35% (538/RCP average) at any point in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve according to Donald Trump's approval rating as reported by RealClearPolling at 5:00 PM ET on October 23, 2026.
- This market's resolution source will be RealClearPolling's presidential job approval poll average, https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating, specifically the value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" as displayed at 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date.
- Any updates or revisions to the RCP Average published after this time will not be considered, except for corrections of data integrity issues as described below.
- Changes in the methodology by which RealClearPolling calculates its average will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
- In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections.
- Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where RealClearPolling differs from alternative sources.