Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 29, 2026
5.5 pt (24h)Latin AmericaOne-OffWeather5g
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Colorado 99%+5.5ptIn testa tra 40 esiti
Qualità del mercato
45 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
7,3K €
Liquidità
4,7K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
9.6 pt
Spread ampioCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 minuti fa
24 set 26, 13:00 UTC1 ott 26, 13:00 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Ordine minimo (quote):
- 5
- Incremento di prezzo:
- 0,1 punti percentuali
- Commissioni:
- Sì
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How many states will be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) — week of September 29, 2026?
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KalshiWill the percentage of the US experiencing drought conditions exceed 10% on August 17, 2027?
ForecastExWill the percentage of the US experiencing drought conditions exceed 15% on August 17, 2027?
ForecastExWill the percentage of the US experiencing drought conditions exceed 20% on August 17, 2027?
ForecastExRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed state that has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 29, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
- States appear only during the months in which they plausibly reach D4, so this event's roster changes through the year. 40 of the 48 coterminous states are in season for September: Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, the named outcome, the named outcome, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Virginia, Washington, the named outcome, Wisconsin, Wyoming.
- A state absent from this event is not making any claim about that state's drought — it simply has no market this week.
- Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 29, 2026?
- Polymarket quota Colorado al 99% al 25 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 29, 2026?
- Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 29, 2026 dovrebbe risolversi il 1 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 29, 2026?
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed state that has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 29, 2026.