SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

0.2% (24h)ExchangeOne-OffIA Space Corporate Actions Equities Tecnologia Business & Corporate1a

PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Probabilità implicita attuale

SpaceX 97%

Qualita del mercato

49 / 100

Bassa qualità

Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidità

1K €

Bassa liquidità

Bid / Ask

96.0% / 97.8%

Spread

1.9%

Spread stretto

Variazione 7g

-1.1%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 19 minuti fa

30 gen 26, 23:1931 dic 27, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria

Esito scelto

SpaceX97%

Puntata (USDT)

Regole

This market will resolve to “SpaceX” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the official closing price for OpenAI’s market capitalization on its first trading day.

This market will resolve to “OpenAI” if the official closing price for OpenAI’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day.
This market will resolve to the company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, if the other company does not complete an IPO within the market timeframe.
This market will resolve to the IPOed company as soon as it becomes impossible for the other company to complete an IPO within the market timeframe, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
This market will resolve 50-50 if: - Neither IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. - Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO within this market's timeframe, and their IPO closing market capitalizations are exactly equal. - Both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

Trend del volume

$11

2 lug16g di dati20 lug

Mercati Correlati

SpaceX Market Cap after Lock Up Period?

0 €

Below 0.5T: 1%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

4,1K €

SpaceX: 86%

POLYMARKET

SpaceX Closing Market Cap End of July

17,6 €

$1.0T-$1.5T: 62%

POLYMARKET

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

1,9K €

↑$900B: 73%

POLYMARKET

Will Anthropic have the largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

244,9 €

No [Anthropic does not IPO in 2026]: 31.1%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Combined IPO market cap of Anthropic + OpenAI + SpaceX

44,4 €

Under $3T: 1.5%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$64,488.35+0.69%

EthereumETH$1,887.22+1.58%

SolanaSOL$75.01+1.51%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0733+5.71%

BNBBNB$570.85+0.89%

XRPXRP$1.10+1.03%

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Regole

This market will resolve to “OpenAI” if the official closing price for OpenAI’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day.
This market will resolve to the company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, if the other company does not complete an IPO within the market timeframe.
This market will resolve to the IPOed company as soon as it becomes impossible for the other company to complete an IPO within the market timeframe, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
This market will resolve 50-50 if: - Neither IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. - Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO within this market's timeframe, and their IPO closing market capitalizations are exactly equal. - Both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

0.2% (24h)ExchangeOne-OffIA Space Corporate Actions Equities Tecnologia Business & Corporate1a

PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Probabilità implicita attuale

SpaceX 97%

Qualita del mercato

49 / 100

Bassa qualità

Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidità

1K €

Bassa liquidità

Bid / Ask

96.0% / 97.8%

Spread

1.9%

Spread stretto

Variazione 7g

-1.1%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 19 minuti fa

30 gen 26, 23:1931 dic 27, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria

Esito scelto

SpaceX97%

Puntata (USDT)

Regole

This market will resolve to “OpenAI” if the official closing price for OpenAI’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day.
This market will resolve to the company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, if the other company does not complete an IPO within the market timeframe.
This market will resolve to the IPOed company as soon as it becomes impossible for the other company to complete an IPO within the market timeframe, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
This market will resolve 50-50 if: - Neither IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. - Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO within this market's timeframe, and their IPO closing market capitalizations are exactly equal. - Both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

Trend del volume

$11

2 lug16g di dati20 lug

Mercati Correlati

SpaceX Market Cap after Lock Up Period?

0 €

Below 0.5T: 1%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

4,1K €

SpaceX: 86%

POLYMARKET

SpaceX Closing Market Cap End of July

17,6 €

$1.0T-$1.5T: 62%

POLYMARKET

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

1,9K €

↑$900B: 73%

POLYMARKET

Will Anthropic have the largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

244,9 €

No [Anthropic does not IPO in 2026]: 31.1%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Combined IPO market cap of Anthropic + OpenAI + SpaceX

44,4 €

Under $3T: 1.5%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$64,488.35+0.69%

EthereumETH$1,887.22+1.58%

SolanaSOL$75.01+1.51%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0733+5.71%

BNBBNB$570.85+0.89%

XRPXRP$1.10+1.03%

Notizie Correlate

Coinbase Opens Payment Rails for AI Agents as Corporate Clients Accept Autonomous TransactionsBlockchain Reporter

BitMEX sued for allegedly profiting from customer Bitcoin liquidationsCrypto News

Google Ships New Gemini Flash Models, But Pro Is Still MissingDecrypt

Google Is Building an AI Chip Just for Gemini—And Investors Already Moved On ItDecrypt

WhiteBIT Launches AI Hub: Trade, Monitor and Automate Through Your Favourite AI AssistantBlockchain Reporter

Binance plans crypto super app with payments, stocks and stablecoinsCrypto News

Regole

This market will resolve to “OpenAI” if the official closing price for OpenAI’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day.
This market will resolve to the company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, if the other company does not complete an IPO within the market timeframe.
This market will resolve to the IPOed company as soon as it becomes impossible for the other company to complete an IPO within the market timeframe, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
This market will resolve 50-50 if: - Neither IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. - Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO within this market's timeframe, and their IPO closing market capitalizations are exactly equal. - Both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.