PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Marília Arraes 69%+14.0ptIn testa tra 39 esiti
Qualita del mercato
59 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
4,1K €
Liquidità
86,2K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
6.5 pt
Spread ampioComments
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
17 ago 26, 10:054 ott 26, 6:00
Trend
Regole
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
- Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won.
- If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market.
- This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
- If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
Mercati aperti
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+3.0pt18.9%
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.2%
+44 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 163 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 919,3K €
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance+0.9pt23%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.4pt14%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt11%
+125 altri esiti
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt23%
- Gavin Newsom-0.1pt15%
- Jon Ossoff-0.1pt15%
+125 altri esiti
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- Golf / Golfer / Golfing99%
- Sleepy Joe99%
- Kamala99%
+28 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 582,1K €
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham+4.0pt63.3%
- Ralph Norman-4.0pt28.4%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 12,7 Mln €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.49%
- J.D. Vance47%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
+125 altri esiti
- Volume totale
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Pernambuco Senate Election: 1st Place?
- Polymarket quota Marília Arraes al 69% al 24 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve Pernambuco Senate Election: 1st Place?
- Pernambuco Senate Election: 1st Place dovrebbe risolversi il 4 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Pernambuco Senate Election: 1st Place?
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.