PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
6M-6.5M 40%+24.0ptIn testa tra 7 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
68 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
1K €
Liquidità
18,8K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
0.8 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
-41.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
18 ago 26, 14:23 UTC3 nov 26, 12:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
New York Governor Election: Nassau County Winner
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GeminiWill Democrats win a 2026 Governor election in a state trump won?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included.
- Invalidated or blank votes are not included.
- In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Mercati aperti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per New York Governor Election: Turnout?
- Polymarket quota 6M-6.5M al 40% al 10 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve New York Governor Election: Turnout?
- New York Governor Election: Turnout dovrebbe risolversi il 3 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato New York Governor Election: Turnout?
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York.
- Dove altro è quotato New York Governor Election: Turnout?
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Kalshi.