PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Democratic Party 92%+1.5ptIn testa tra 8 esiti
Qualita del mercato
77 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
2,1K €
Liquidità
28,5K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
8.1% / 8.2%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread strettoVariazione 7g
-5.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 minuti fa
16 dic 25, 17:274 nov 26, 0:00
Trend
0%
0%
0%
0%
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Democratic Party92%
Confronta le piattaforme· Republican Party
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketQuesta paginaMigliore in assoluto | Alta | 8% | 0pt | 2,1K € | 28,5K € | 14 minuti fa | |
 Kalshi60% di corrispondenza · verificato | Bassa | 13% | +5pt | 0 € | 2,5K € | 14 minuti fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Kalshi
MN-02 House winner?
1a
87.6%
12.4%
49 • Bassa qualitàSpread moderatoLiquidità mediaVicino alla risoluzione
Volume totale3,8K €
Volume 24h0 €
KALSHIRegole
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Grandi operazioni
$2.6k88.6%POLYMARKETWill the Democratic Party win the MN-02 House seat? — YesSitsToPee5 gg fa
POLYMARKETWill the Democratic Party win the MN-02 House seat? — YesSitsToPee5 gg faTrend del volume
$2.4k11 lug9g di dati28 lug
Mercati Correlati
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
926,1K €Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: 49%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner
43,1K €Byron Donalds: 97%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Florida Republican governor primary: 2nd place
20,3K €James Fishback: 55%KALSHI
KALSHI
FL-21 Democratic Primary Winner
19,7K €Bernard Taylor: 74%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
KS-03 Democratic nominee?
4,9K €Sarah Preu: 2%KALSHI
KALSHI
Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?
2,1K €Josh Shapiro: 11%KALSHI
KALSHIAttivi in questi argomenti
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This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.