PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attualePerson B 50%In testa tra 43 esiti
Qualita del mercato
64 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
2,1K €
Liquidità
59,3K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
27.0% / 46.0%
Spread
70.4%
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
21 lug 26, 23:3626 ott 26, 23:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Person B50%
Trend del volume
$2.3k22 lug5g di dati26 lug
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Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections.
- It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
- If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”.
- An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
- If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections.