PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
54.0 to 54.9 23.9%+2.5ptIn testa tra 10 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
50 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
365,9 €
Liquidità
8,6K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
5.0 pt
Spread ampioCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 minuti fa
3 set 26, 20:02 UTC5 ott 26, 06:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
ISM Manufacturing PMI - September 2026
PolymarketISM Manufacturing PMI in September
KalshiWill the freight transportation services index exceed 137 in July 2026?
ForecastExWill the freight transportation services index exceed 141 in December 2026?
ForecastExWill the freight transportation services index exceed 143 in December 2026?
ForecastExVisitors to Florida in 2026
KalshiRegole
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM).
- A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
- This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
- The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Mercati aperti
Macro & EconomyKALSHIVisitors to Florida in 2026
- Above 136 million+1.0pt98%
- Above 138 million-2.0pt94%
- Above 140 million+3.0pt80%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 125,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 47,4K €
KALSHIConnecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026
- Above 3,500 units-1.0pt88%
- Above 4,000 units-4.0pt66%
- Above 4,500 units-18.0pt30%
+5 altri esiti
KALSHIPennsylvania gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.260099%
- Above 4.265099%
- Above 4.270099%
+14 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 17,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 17,4K €
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No93%
- Yes-2.0pt7%
- Volume totale
- 2,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 16K €
KALSHIPort of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026
- Above 8.4 million TEUs95%
- Above 8.6 million TEUs+4.0pt85%
- Above 8.7 million TEUs+3.0pt73%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIHousing units authorized in Vermont in 2026
- Above 1,700 units-4.0pt82%
- Above 1,600 units-11.0pt80%
- Above 1,800 units-5.0pt68%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
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- How high will the S&P get this year?
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- How low will the S&P get this year?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per ISM Services PMI - September 2026?
- Polymarket quota 54.0 to 54.9 al 24% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve ISM Services PMI - September 2026?
- ISM Services PMI - September 2026 dovrebbe risolversi il 5 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato ISM Services PMI - September 2026?
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM).
- Dove altro è quotato ISM Services PMI - September 2026?
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Kalshi.