PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
53.0 to 53.9 24.3%-1.5ptIn testa tra 10 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
54 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
61,1 €
Liquidità
10,6K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 minuti fa
1 set 26, 22:22 UTC1 ott 26, 06:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
ISM Services PMI - September 2026
PolymarketUS ISM Services PMI for September
KalshiWill Ohio manufacturing employment rise YoY?
KalshiWill New Jersey pharmaceutical manufacturing jobs rise YoY?
KalshiWhat will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?
PolymarketWhat will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on September 30?
PolymarketRegole
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM).
- A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
- This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
- The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — ISM Manufacturing PMI in September · At least 51 97%
Mercati aperti
Macro & EconomyKALSHIConnecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026
- Above 3,500 units-1.0pt88%
- Above 4,000 units-4.0pt66%
- Above 4,500 units-29.0pt19%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 45,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 21K €
KALSHIHousing units authorized in Vermont in 2026
- Above 1,700 units-4.0pt82%
- Above 1,600 units-11.0pt80%
- Above 1,800 units-5.0pt68%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETWhat will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?
- $518K - $524K+10.1pt31.1%
- $524K - $530K+11.4pt25.5%
- $530K - $536K-20.6pt16%
POLYMARKETWhat will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on September 30?
- $1.153M - $1.169M+12.5pt37.4%
- $1.137M - $1.153M-6.0pt31.3%
- <$1.137M-25.6pt14.1%
KALSHICzech National Bank rate decision in September
- Maintain current rate-3.0pt86.8%
- Hike 25bps+4.0pt7.5%
- Cut 50bps1.9%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 34,9K €
KALSHIHow high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Above $4.60+1.0pt40%
- Above $4.80+2.0pt33%
- Above $5.0029%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,2 Mln €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per ISM Manufacturing PMI - September 2026?
- Polymarket quota 53.0 to 53.9 al 24% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve ISM Manufacturing PMI - September 2026?
- ISM Manufacturing PMI - September 2026 dovrebbe risolversi il 1 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato ISM Manufacturing PMI - September 2026?
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM).
- Dove altro è quotato ISM Manufacturing PMI - September 2026?
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Kalshi.