PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
54.0–54.9 34.6%+9.5ptIn testa tra 10 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualita del mercato
45 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
2,7K €
Liquidità
4K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
35.0 pt
Spread ampioComments
0
Variazione 7g
+2.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 minuti fa
4 ago 26, 22:201 set 26, 6:00
Trend
Regole
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM).
- A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
- This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
- The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage.
Mercati aperti
Macro & Economy
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- Above $4.60-7.0pt40%
- Above $4.80-9.0pt30%
- Above $5.00-5.0pt22%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 19K €
KALSHIVisitors to Florida in 2026
- Above 136 million97%
- Above 138 million+4.0pt94%
- Above 140 million-3.0pt80%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 37,3K €
KALSHIWhat will Kevin Warsh say during his Jackson Hole remarks?
- Inflation+3.0pt91%
- Task Force+8.0pt88%
- Productivity+2.0pt82%
+26 altri esiti
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No91%
- Yes9%
- Volume totale
- 2,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 6,7K €
KALSHIJobs numbers in Aug 2026?
- Above -25,000+1.0pt85%
- Above 0+4.0pt77%
- Above 20,000+5.0pt71%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIWill the federal gas tax be suspended?
- Before Jan 1, 2027+2.0pt17%
- Before Jul 1, 20261%
- Volume totale
- 249,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 5,2K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per ISM Manufacturing PMI - August 2026?
- Polymarket quota 54.0–54.9 al 35% al 25 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve ISM Manufacturing PMI - August 2026?
- ISM Manufacturing PMI - August 2026 dovrebbe risolversi il 1 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato ISM Manufacturing PMI - August 2026?
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM).