How many Israeli elections before government formed?
4.5 pt (24h)PoliticaOne-OffChessElezioneMiddle EastSport1a
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
1 79.4%+4.5ptIn testa tra 6 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualita del mercato
66 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
846,1 €
Liquidità
59,8K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
5.0 pt
Spread moderatoComments
4
Variazione 7g
+21.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
28 lug 26, 22:1431 dic 27, 23:59
Trend
0%
0%
0%
Regole
This market will resolve according to the number of Israeli legislative elections that occur between market creation and the formation of a government in the Knesset or December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes earlier.
- This market will resolve solely based on the number of elections that occur, where occurrence is defined as nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
- Publication of an election’s results will have no bearing on this market.
- Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution.
- Only the dates of general election-day voting will count.
- A government will be considered formed if it passes a vote of confidence in the Knesset.
