How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
6.5 pt (24h)WeatherOne-Off3m
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
1-3 48.4%+0.5ptIn testa tra 4 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
64 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
762,7 €
Liquidità
5,6K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
+25.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
28 lug 26, 20:51 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will at least 5 hurricanes form in the Atlantic Basin in 2026?
ForecastExWill at least 7 hurricanes form in the Atlantic Basin in 2026?
ForecastExWill at least 9 hurricanes form in the Atlantic Basin in 2026?
ForecastExWill the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season produce at least 3 hurricanes by October 15?
Manifold MarketsWhat month will be most active in the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?
PolymarketRegole
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
- If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
- A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
- This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward.
- The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
