PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Below 1,028 45%-1.0ptIn testa tra 4 esiti
Qualità del mercato
67 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
175,4 €
Liquidità
5,7K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
-1.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 30 minuti fa
17 ago 26, 21:49 UTC16 apr 27, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Ordine minimo (quote):
- 5
- Incremento di prezzo:
- 1 punti percentuali
- Commissioni:
- Sì
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiWill Lake Powell and/or Lake Mead reach Dead Pool status in 2026
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Manifold MarketsWhere will it rain on Sep 23, 2026?
KalshiRegole
This market resolves based on the lowest daily elevation recorded at Lake Mead (Hoover Dam) between market creation and March 31, 2027, as published by the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation.
- See each individual market for its bracket and full resolution terms.
- Because a lower reading can occur at any point up to March 31, 2027, all outcomes are settled after the window closes, based on the lowest daily elevation recorded during the window.
- The resolution source is the minimum daily lake elevation published by the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation for Lake Mead at Hoover Dam, available at https://data.usbr.gov/catalog/4370/item/6123.
- USBR data is provisional and subject to revision; the lowest daily elevation reflected in USBR data as of April 15, 2027 governs, and revisions published after April 15, 2027 will not change the outcome.
- Daily elevation data published at https://lakemead.water-data.com/ may also be referenced, but if it disagrees with USBR, the USBR value governs.
Mercati aperti
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 23, 2026?
- 78° to 79°+29.0pt48.6%
- 80° to 81°+4.0pt39.5%
- 82° to 83°-18.0pt6.4%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 319,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 303,9K €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 23, 2026?
- Philadelphia+83.0pt99%
- Miami+11.0pt99%
- Washington DC+10.0pt99%
+25 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 304,6K €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 23, 2026?
- 82° to 83°+49.0pt52.4%
- 84° to 85°+21.0pt35.2%
- 86° to 87°-26.0pt9.5%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 23, 2026?
- 67° to 68°+25.0pt76.2%
- 65° to 66°-8.0pt19.1%
- 69° to 70°-7.0pt1.9%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIHighest temperature in Atlanta on Sep 23, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+23.0pt56.7%
- 82° to 83°+29.0pt38.1%
- 84° to 85°-1.0pt2.1%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIHighest temperature in Chicago on Sep 23, 2026?
- 65° to 66°+27.0pt62.9%
- 67° to 68°-11.0pt17.1%
- 63° to 64°-1.0pt16.2%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per How low will Lake Mead drop??
- Polymarket quota Below 1,028 al 45% al 23 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve How low will Lake Mead drop??
- How low will Lake Mead drop? dovrebbe risolversi il 16 aprile 2027.
- Come viene liquidato How low will Lake Mead drop??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market resolves based on the lowest daily elevation recorded at Lake Mead (Hoover Dam) between market creation and March 31, 2027, as published by the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation.