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Dati al 9 set 2026, 01:30 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
<3.6M 37%+9.5ptIn testa tra 8 esiti
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
1,1K €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
-3.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
18 ago 26, 14:20 UTC3 nov 26, 12:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included.
- Invalidated or blank votes are not included.
- In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 691,8K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,1 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,6 Mln €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 984,1K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Georgia Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)?
- Polymarket quota <3.6M al 37% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Georgia Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)?
- Georgia Senate Election: Turnout (First Round) dovrebbe risolversi il 3 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Georgia Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)?
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia.