PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
290K-305K 33%+24.5ptIn testa tra 8 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
58 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
2,2K €
Liquidità
12,2K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
+9.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
18 ago 26, 14:09 UTC3 nov 26, 12:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsWhat Party will win the 2026 Alaska Senate Election
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included.
- Invalidated or blank votes are not included.
- In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
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- Volume 24h
- 691,8K €
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- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
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- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
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- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
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- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
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- Volume totale
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)?
- Polymarket quota 290K-305K al 33% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)?
- Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round) dovrebbe risolversi il 3 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)?
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska.