Probabilità implicita attuale
No 70%
No 70%Qualità del mercato
34 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
542,9 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
15.0% / 43.0%
Spread
28.0 pt
Spread ampioCommenti
2
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 20 minuti fa
9 set 26, 22:30 UTC10 ott 26, 18:00 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Ordine minimo (quote):
- 5
- Incremento di prezzo:
- 1 punti percentuali
- Commissioni:
- Sì
Regole
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections.
- The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate wins the French Socialist primary outright in the first round, such that no second round is held.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- A candidate wins outright if they receive more than 50% of the votes cast in the first round, or if the organizers of the primary otherwise declare them the winner of the primary without a second round being held.
- If the primary is cancelled, the first round does not take place, or the results thereof are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
