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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Health & Medicine
  3. FDA approves Merck's Welireg + Keytruda or Keytruda Qlex?
FDA approves Merck's Welireg + Keytruda or Keytruda Qlex?

FDA approves Merck's Welireg + Keytruda or Keytruda Qlex?

2.0% (24h)Health & MedicineOne-Off7g
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì
Sì 83%+0.0%
Qualita del mercato

49 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

11,9 €

Liquidità

305,5 €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

82.0% / 84.0%

Spread

2.4%

Spread stretto
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 5 minuti fa

4 giu 26, 19:3519 giu 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes83%

Regole

As of market creation, the FDA's expected decision date for the specified application is June 19, 2026.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S.
  • Food and Drug Administration (FDA) grants full or conditional approval for Merck's Welireg + Keytruda or Keytruda Qlex as a treatment for adjuvant treatment of clear cell renal cell carcinoma following nephrectomy by July 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • An approval is defined as: For new drugs: FDA issuance of an approval letter for a New Drug Application (NDA) or Biologics License Application (BLA) For already-marketed drugs seeking new indications: FDA approval of a supplemental NDA (sNDA) or supplemental BLA (sBLA) for the specific indication referenced For generic drugs: FDA approval of an Abbreviated New Drug Application (ANDA) For biosimilars: FDA approval of a 351(k) application
  • The following constitute qualifying approvals: Standard approval (traditional approval based on clinical benefit), Accelerated approval (based on surrogate endpoints), Approval with Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategy (REMS), Approval with restricted distribution or indication limitations, except compassionate use/expanded access programs

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Regole

As of market creation, the FDA's expected decision date for the specified application is June 19, 2026.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S.
  • Food and Drug Administration (FDA) grants full or conditional approval for Merck's Welireg + Keytruda or Keytruda Qlex as a treatment for adjuvant treatment of clear cell renal cell carcinoma following nephrectomy by July 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • An approval is defined as: For new drugs: FDA issuance of an approval letter for a New Drug Application (NDA) or Biologics License Application (BLA) For already-marketed drugs seeking new indications: FDA approval of a supplemental NDA (sNDA) or supplemental BLA (sBLA) for the specific indication referenced For generic drugs: FDA approval of an Abbreviated New Drug Application (ANDA) For biosimilars: FDA approval of a 351(k) application
  • The following constitute qualifying approvals: Standard approval (traditional approval based on clinical benefit), Accelerated approval (based on surrogate endpoints), Approval with Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategy (REMS), Approval with restricted distribution or indication limitations, except compassionate use/expanded access programs