PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneProbabilità implicita attualeSì 100%
Qualita del mercato
79 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
943,3 €
Liquidità
9,7K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
99.6% / 99.8%
Spread
0.2%
Spread strettoVariazione 7g
+1.7%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 minuti fa
23 dic 25, 22:4631 dic 26, 0:00
Trend
100%
0%
Esito scelto
Yes100%
Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets
ECB rate hike in 2026?
6m
97.9%
2.1%
Previsione della comunità15 previsoriTipo: binary
Volume totale8,2K €
Volume 24h1K €
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
- If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
- If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.