PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Sì 57%
Qualità del mercato
32 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
60,9 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
26.0% / 89.0%
Spread
63.0 pt
Spread ampioCommenti
1
Variazione 7g
+9.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
13 ago 26, 18:16 UTC2 ott 26, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?
KalshiWhich states will report local cases in the May 2026 Ebola Bundibugyo outbreak
Manifold MarketsEbola pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketWhich countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
KalshiWhich countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
PolymarketEbola pandemic in 2026?
KalshiRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET., a confirmed case of Ebola is reported in a country that had not reported any confirmed Ebola case in the current outbreak as of market creation.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The "current outbreak" is the Bundibugyo ebolavirus outbreak declared by the DRC on May 15, 2026.
- A "qualifying country" is any country other than the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Uganda, or France, each of which had recorded at least one confirmed case attributable to this outbreak as reported by Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) https://www.cdc.gov/ebola/situation-summary/index.html.
- A "confirmed case" is a laboratory-confirmed Bundibugyo ebolavirus infection attributed to the current outbreak.
- A case counts for whichever country the qualifying source assigns it to in its reporting, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or specimen collection occurred.
Mercati aperti
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.2pt97%
- Yes+0.2pt3%
- Volume totale
- 15,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 30,4K €
POLYMARKETEbola pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Volume totale
- 652,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 3,5K €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.7pt3%
- Volume totale
- 1,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 2,9K €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000+1.0pt97%
- Above 600059%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 865,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 2,7K €
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+1.0pt94.1%
- Yes-1.0pt5.9%
- Volume totale
- 915,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 1,4K €
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+1.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Volume totale
- 84K €
- When will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- FDA decision: Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo (in 2026)
- FDA decision: Anitocabtagene Autoleucel (anito-cel) by Gilead Sciences (in 2026)
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Ebola: new country confirmed before October 1??
- Polymarket quota Yes al 57% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Ebola: new country confirmed before October 1??
- Ebola: new country confirmed before October 1? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Ebola: new country confirmed before October 1??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET., a confirmed case of Ebola is reported in a country that had not reported any confirmed Ebola case in the current outbreak as of market creation.