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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Politica
  3. California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory?
California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory?

California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory?

6.0% (24h)One-OffPoliticaElezione
PolymarketPolymarketChiusoVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione

Questo mercato è chiuso e in attesa di una risoluzione confermata.

Probabilità implicita attuale
Becerra <5%
Becerra <5% 93%+7.0%
In testa tra 8 esiti
Qualita del mercato

64 / 100

Qualità media
Volume 24h

1,5K €

Liquidità

37,6K €

Alta liquidità
Bid / Ask

2.0% / 10.0%

Spread

400.0%

Spread ampio
Variazione 7g

-29.5%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 4 minuti fa

28 mag 26, 21:492 giu 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità
Becerra <5%
Becerra <5%
+7.0%
93%
Becerra 5–10%
Becerra 5–10%
-6.0%
6%
Hilton Wins
Hilton Wins
+2.8%
3%
Becerra 10%+
Becerra 10%+
+1.6%
3%
Steyer 5%+
Steyer 5%+
0%
Steyer <5%
Steyer <5%
0%

Questo mercato è chiuso. Il trading simulato è disponibile solo sui mercati aperti.

KalshiDisponibile anche su Kalshi

California Governor Primary margin of victory

California Governor Primary margin of victory

1.0%1a
Xavier Becerra, 3+ pts
Xavier Becerra, 3+ pts
-1.0%90%
Xavier Becerra, 1+ pts
Xavier Becerra, 1+ pts
99%
Xavier Becerra, 5+ pts
Xavier Becerra, 5+ pts
8%
28 • Bassa qualitàSpread ampioBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo
Volume totale294,5 €
Volume 24h1 €
KalshiKALSHI

Regole

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

Polymarket
  • The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
  • This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election.
  • The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
  • Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
  • If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.

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9,4K €
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Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$63,108.79+3.43%EthereumETH$1,662.46+2.54%SolanaSOL$65.54+3.21%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+2.17%XRPXRP$1.12+1.32%BNBBNB$600.94+3.05%

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Regole

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

Polymarket
  • The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
  • This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election.
  • The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
  • Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
  • If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.