KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneProbabilità implicita attualeXavier Becerra, 3+ pts 90%-1.0%In testa tra 3 esiti
Qualita del mercato
28 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
1 €
Liquidità
98 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
85.0% / 99.0%
Spread
16.5%
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 minuti fa
4 mag 26, 23:453 nov 27, 15:00
Trend
Esito scelto
Xavier Becerra, 3+ pts90%
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory?
6.0%Chiusi
+8.0%93%
-6.0%6%
+2.8%3%
+5 altri esiti
64 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioAlta liquidità
Volume totale26,6K €
Volume 24h1,5K €
POLYMARKETRegole
If Xavier Becerra wins the 2026 gubernatorial primary election in California by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Xavier Becerra minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Xavier Becerra if Xavier Becerra wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Xavier Becerra loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Mercati Correlati
Maine Senate margin of victory
34,2 €Democrats, 3+ pts: 82%KALSHI
KALSHITexas Senate margin of victory
6,9 €James Talarico, 3+ pts: 20%KALSHI
KALSHITexas Senate margin of victory
5,9 €Ken Paxton, 3+ pts: 50%KALSHI
KALSHISouth Carolina Senate margin of victory
5,7 €Republicans, 9+ pts: 45%KALSHI
KALSHIFlorida Senate margin of victory
3,2 €Republicans, 8+ pts: 97%KALSHI
KALSHINorth Carolina Senate margin of victory
3 €Republicans, 1+ pts: 15%KALSHI
KALSHIAttivi in questi argomenti
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If Xavier Becerra wins the 2026 gubernatorial primary election in California by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Xavier Becerra minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Xavier Becerra if Xavier Becerra wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Xavier Becerra loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.