PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiNessuna quotazione live
Dati al 8 set 2026, 19:20 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
11M-11.5M 33%-9.0ptIn testa tra 10 esiti
Qualità del mercato
24 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
671,2 €
Bassa liquiditàCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
-13.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
18 ago 26, 14:08 UTC3 nov 26, 12:00 UTC
Trend
Regole
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included.
- Invalidated or blank votes are not included.
- In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per California Governor Election: Turnout?
- Polymarket quota 11M-11.5M al 33% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve California Governor Election: Turnout?
- California Governor Election: Turnout dovrebbe risolversi il 3 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato California Governor Election: Turnout?
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California.