Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Lula Vote Share?
3.0 pt (24h)PoliticaOne-OffElezioneLatin America17g
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
41-44% 45.9%+17.5ptIn testa tra 5 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
59 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
1,4K €
Liquidità
14,6K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
5.0 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
16 set 26, 02:26 UTC5 ott 26, 02:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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LimitlessBrazil presidential election: Lula vote percent (1st round)
KalshiRegole
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva in the first round of this election.
- The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- This market will resolve based on the official vote count.