PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attualeDemocratic Party 84%In testa tra 8 esiti
Qualita del mercato
64 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
1,5K €
Liquidità
38,2K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
13.0% / 15.0%
Spread
15.4%
Spread ampioVariazione 7g
-3.5%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
28 gen 26, 5:553 nov 26, 0:00
Trend
0%
0%
0%
0%
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Democratic Party84%
Confronta le piattaforme· Democratic Party
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketQuesta paginaMigliore in assoluto | Media | 84% | 0pt | 1,5K € | 38,2K € | 5 minuti fa | |
 Kalshi60% di corrispondenza · verificato | Media | 88% | +4pt | 657,9 € | 3,6K € | 31 minuti fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Kalshi
AZ-04 House winner?
3.0%1a
+3.0%15%
88%
52 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioLiquidità media
Volume totale4,7K €
Volume 24h657,9 €
KALSHIRegole
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$1.7k10 lug2g di dati11 lug
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POLYMARKETAttivi in questi argomenti
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This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.