PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attuale
Democratic Party 82.2%In testa tra 8 esiti
Qualita del mercato
67 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
43,9 €
Liquidità
24,5K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
82.0% / 83.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoVariazione 7g
+4.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 23 minuti fa
16 dic 25, 16:454 nov 26, 0:00
Trend
0%
0%
0%
0%
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Democratic Party83%
Confronta le piattaforme· Democratic Party
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketQuesta paginaMigliore in assoluto | Media | 83% | — | 43,9 € | 24,5K € | 23 minuti fa | |
 Kalshi60% di corrispondenza · verificato | Bassa | 83% | — | 0 € | 6,5K € | 43 minuti fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Kalshi
AZ-06 House winner?
1a
79%
20.9%
49 • Bassa qualitàSpread moderatoLiquidità media
Volume totale13,8K €
Volume 24h0 €
KALSHIRegole
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$502 lug17g di dati29 lug
Mercati Correlati
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
84K €Gadi Eizenkot: 52%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which party will win the House in 2026?
74,1K €Democratic Party: 86%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
South Dakota Republican Governor runoff margin of victory? (Higher strikes)
26,9K €Larry Rhoden, ≥40%: 99%KALSHI
KALSHI
Idaho Senate margin of victory
3,2K €Republicans, 31+ pts: 20%KALSHI
KALSHI
Pennsylvania Governor winner?
2,2K €Stacy Garrity: 7%KALSHI
KALSHI
By what date will the 21st Century Road to Housing Act become law?
2,2K €June 30: 1.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSAttivi in questi argomenti
Notizie Correlate
Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks offBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as Epstein files critique hits tapeBlockchain.NewsRegole
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.