Probabilità implicita attuale
2 72%-9.5%In testa tra 4 esiti
Qualita del mercato
91 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
4K €
Liquidità
53,4K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
71.0% / 72.0%
Spread
1.4%
Spread strettoVariazione 7g
-15.5%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 20 minuti fa
6 lug 26, 22:0731 dic 26, 23:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
272%
Trend del volume
$4.5k7 lug20g di dati26 lug
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Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (also known as Saxony-Anhalt), the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in September of 2026.
- This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
- No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
- A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
- This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies.