Probabilità implicita attuale
No 98%
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
3K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
2.4% / 2.5%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
9 apr 26, 13:54 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
PolymarketWill any of the following be confirmed to be Satoshi Nakamoto?
Manifold MarketsWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin before 2027?
KalshiWill we know who Satoshi Nakamoto is within two years of Tyler Cowen’s prediction?
Manifold MarketsWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto
PolymarketRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Adam Back is Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator of Bitcoin, is made public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Qualifying evidence includes, but is not limited to, verified documentation, blockchain evidence, or other definitive evidence.
- If Satoshi Nakamoto is conclusively identified as a group or collective rather than a single individual, definitive evidence that Adam Back was a member of that group will qualify.
- Unverified or anonymous claims, speculation, memes, jokes, sarcasm, or unsubstantiated reports will not qualify.
- The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercati aperti
BitcoinKALSHIBTC price on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $74,750 or above99%
- $73,750 or above99%
- $74,500 or above99%
+77 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,1 Mln €
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- ↑ 80,000+31.4pt100%
- ↓ 77,500100%
- ↑ 77,500100%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 11?
- 70,000+0.2pt100%
- 72,000+0.5pt100%
- 74,000-0.7pt97%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $69,000 or above99%
- $69,500 or above98%
- $68,500 or above98%
+47 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 319,9K €
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- ↓ 60,000+10.4pt100%
- ↑ 80,000+11.9pt100%
- ↑ 75,000+30.4pt100%
+43 altri esiti
KALSHIWhat will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Democrat+15.0pt81%
- MAGA / Make America Great Again+8.0pt76%
- Communist / Communism+13.0pt75%
+36 altri esiti
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
- What price will Bitcoin hit on September 10?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- How high will BTC get in September?
- BTC price range on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- How low will BTC get in September?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 12?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 14?
- BTC price range on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 15?
- Bitcoin Up or Down on September 11?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31??
- Polymarket quota No al 98% al 10 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31??
- Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Adam Back is Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator of Bitcoin, is made public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.