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Russia/Ukraine ceasefire before August?

Russia/Ukraine ceasefire before August?

0.4% (24h)PoliticaOne-OffGeopolitica Russia / Ukraine5g

MyriadDati verificati limitati

Probabilità implicita attuale

Sì 4.7%-0.1%

Qualita del mercato

32 / 100

Bassa qualità

Volume 24h

183,2 €

Liquidità

1,3K €

Bassa liquidità

Bid / Ask

-

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 18 minuti fa

17 dic 25, 15:0731 lug 26, 23:59

Esito24hProbabilità

Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria

Esito scelto

YES5%

Puntata (USDT)

Regole

**Market Dates:**

- **Market Period:** From the publication date to July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Market Close:** July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Resolution Time:** This market will be resolved after the Market Close, or earlier if the outcome is reached.
**Yes/No Criteria:**
- Resolves to **"Yes"** if both Russia and Ukraine formally agree to a complete ceasefire through an official, publicly announced agreement before or at Resolution Time.
The agreement must mandate a total cessation of all military operations—including but not limited to ground, air, naval, and cyber warfare—across all territories involved in the conflict (e.g., Ukraine, Russian-occupied territories, and border regions).
Additionally, the ceasefire must be bilateral, with both Russia and Ukraine explicitly committing to halting all offensive and defensive military actions against each other, and it must apply to the entire conflict zone without geographic exceptions (e.g., it cannot exclude specific regions like Donbas or Crimea). - Resolves to **"No"** if all of the above conditions are not met before the Market Period ends

Grandi operazioni

$1.1k95.3%

MYRIADNO0xdAd9…Ae6B15 gg fa

Trend del volume

$208

8 lug19g di dati26 lug

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Russia/Ukraine ceasefire before August?

Russia/Ukraine ceasefire before August?

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Regole

**Market Dates:**

- **Market Period:** From the publication date to July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Market Close:** July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Resolution Time:** This market will be resolved after the Market Close, or earlier if the outcome is reached.
**Yes/No Criteria:**
- Resolves to **"Yes"** if both Russia and Ukraine formally agree to a complete ceasefire through an official, publicly announced agreement before or at Resolution Time.
The agreement must mandate a total cessation of all military operations—including but not limited to ground, air, naval, and cyber warfare—across all territories involved in the conflict (e.g., Ukraine, Russian-occupied territories, and border regions).
Additionally, the ceasefire must be bilateral, with both Russia and Ukraine explicitly committing to halting all offensive and defensive military actions against each other, and it must apply to the entire conflict zone without geographic exceptions (e.g., it cannot exclude specific regions like Donbas or Crimea). - Resolves to **"No"** if all of the above conditions are not met before the Market Period ends