Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 94.1%
Previsori
11
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto5 ott 23, 23:08 UTC31 dic 28, 14:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Xi Jinping leave China in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Xi Jinping leave the office of General Secretary of the CCP by which date?
FutuurWill Xi Jinping be the leader of China at the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Xi Jinping meet Vladimir Putin before Christmas Eve 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Xi Jinping leave office in 2026?
FutuurXi Jinping out before 2027?
PolymarketRegole
Will he leave China (area of control at the time) from Jan 1 2026 to Dec 31 2028?
- i.e. if the PRC still controls HK, then it wouldn't count as leaving.
- If it controls Taiwan, that would not count as leaving either.
- The point is if he goes to a region which another independent government controls.
Mercati aperti
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume totale
- 35,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 94,7K €
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Volume totale
- 11,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 35,2K €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- 26°C+2.5pt51.9%
- 27°C+2.5pt23.1%
- 25°C-2.0pt17.3%
+8 altri esiti
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No-0.5pt72.3%
- Yes+0.5pt27.7%
- Volume totale
- 356,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 13,3K €
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No+1.0pt89.1%
- Yes-1.0pt10.9%
- Volume totale
- 2,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 11,9K €
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+4.5pt71.3%
- Moonshot-0.8pt26.7%
- Z.ai-0.8pt1%
+8 altri esiti
- Will Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- Top Chinese AI Company week of September 14th
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
- How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
- Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
- Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 10?
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Xi Jinping leave China from 2026 to 2028??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 94% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Xi Jinping leave China from 2026 to 2028??
- Will Xi Jinping leave China from 2026 to 2028? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Will Xi Jinping leave China from 2026 to 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Will he leave China (area of control at the time) from Jan 1 2026 to Dec 31 2028?