Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Sì 62.7%
Previsori
19
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto3 dic 23, 21:11 UTC1 gen 41, 05:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will "The Winds of Winter" be released before humanity returns to the Moon?
Manifold MarketsWill P vs NP be resolved after man lands on Mars?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the Winds of Winter be released?
Manifold MarketsThe Winds of Winter: Release date announced this year?
KalshiWill George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?
PolymarketNASA lands on the moon?
KalshiRegole
Resolves YES if the next A Song of Ice and Fire book, The Winds of Winter, is released before the first human sets foot on Mars.
Mercati aperti
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 342,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 91,2K €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 182,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 90,8K €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+25.1pt47.2%
- No Bond chosen-3.1pt18.9%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 altri esiti
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+8.0pt46%
- Jack Barton-4.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt18%
+27 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,8 Mln €
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 264,6K €
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-53.0pt14%
- Above 50-56.0pt8%
- Above 55-48.0pt2%
+14 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 84,3K €
- Big Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Steam: Weekly Top Seller
- Oscar Winner: Best Actor
- #2 US Spotify Song 2026
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will "The Winds of Winter" be released before humanity lands on Mars??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 63% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will "The Winds of Winter" be released before humanity lands on Mars??
- Will "The Winds of Winter" be released before humanity lands on Mars? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2041.
- Come viene liquidato Will "The Winds of Winter" be released before humanity lands on Mars??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves YES if the next A Song of Ice and Fire book, The Winds of Winter, is released before the first human sets foot on Mars.