Previsione della comunità attuale
No 59.9%
Previsori
28
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto9 gen 23, 18:13 UTC1 gen 28, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Matt Levine create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Bill Gurley create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
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Manifold MarketsNext Prime Minister of Romania?
PolymarketWill the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?
PolymarketPrime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
KalshiRegole
Vitalik Buterin, the founder of Ethereum.
- This is one of a series of markets regarding whether select individuals or organizations will become Manifold users and create at least one market by the end of 2027 (~5 years).
- The time period is intentionally long, as these markets measure both (i) the propensity of the given person/organization to join Manifold, and (ii) Manifold's anticipated adoption by the public over time.
- To resolve positively, I must be reasonably confident that the Manifold account really is the entity they purport to be.
Mercati aperti
Ethereum
LIMITLESSETH Up or Down - Daily
- No63.6%
- Yes36.4%
- Volume totale
- 265,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 265,3K €
POLYMARKETEthereum above ___ on September 9?
- 1,900+0.5pt100%
- 2,000+0.5pt100%
- 2,100+0.5pt100%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 132,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 110,8K €
POLYMARKETWhat price will Ethereum hit in September?
- ↑ 2,500+28.9pt100%
- ↓ 2,400100%
- ↑ 2,400100%
+24 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETWhat price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
- ↑ 2,500+18.4pt100%
- ↑ 2,250+42.5pt100%
- ↑ 2,000+13.4pt100%
+27 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhat price will Ethereum hit on September 8?
- ↑ 2,500100%
- ↓ 2,450100%
- ↑ 2,5502%
+11 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 55,6K €
POLYMARKETWhat chain will LAPTOP launch on?
- Base+1.6pt96%
- No launch-0.4pt3%
- Solana+0.3pt1%
+2 altri esiti
- What price will Ethereum hit September 7-13?
- ETH price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 11?
- How high will ETH get in September?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 10?
- How low will Ethereum get in 2026?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 13?
- ETH price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Ethereum price on September 9?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 14?
- Ethereum price at the end of 2026
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Vitalik Buterin create a market on Manifold by end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 60% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Vitalik Buterin create a market on Manifold by end of 2027??
- Will Vitalik Buterin create a market on Manifold by end of 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Will Vitalik Buterin create a market on Manifold by end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Vitalik Buterin, the founder of Ethereum.