Will US rhenium net import reliance exceed 72% in the year ending December 2028?
Materie primeOne-Off2aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 56.9%
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4
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 17 minuti fa
7 apr 26, 23:39 UTC31 mar 29, 04:00 UTC
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ForecastExRegole
This market resolves YES if US rhenium net import reliance exceeds 72% in the year ending December 2028.
- What is being measured: USGS estimate of US rhenium net import reliance (%) for the calendar year ending December 2028 (published in USGS MCS ~February, settled March 31).
- YES if: US rhenium net import reliance >= 72% for the year NO if: US rhenium net import reliance < 72% for the year Resolution sources (priority order):
- USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries — rhenium section (usgs.gov/centers/national-minerals-information-center)
- USGS Minerals Yearbook — rhenium chapter
- Calculated from US Census Bureau BIS data (HS 8112.41, HS 2841.90) + USGS production
